THE HONEST PROCESS
01
SCAN
We scan the global markets—Kalshi, Polymarket, and more—to compare market prices and implied probabilities across sports and current events.
02
SCORE
Our PMOI 2.0 index runs a 10-component opportunity analysis to strip away the noise and quantify the real value in the odds.
03
PUBLISH
We publish a short list of clearly explained YES/NO research candidates, each with visible assumptions and risk flags.
04
READ & TRACK
Read the morning newsletter, make your call, and log your paper picks on your personal honest scoreboard.
05
REVIEW
Track your paper-trading record. No real money is ever at stake.
06
COMPETE
Climb the group chat leaderboard and talk a little trash in the Discord community with proof of your market mastery.
The High-Conviction Filter
Our PMOI 2.0 opportunity index isn't just another model—it's a strict filtration system. We scan thousands of market data points from Kalshi, Polymarket, and major sportsbooks, but we only talk about what matters. By filtering out noise, we highlight a small number of clearly explained research candidates, each with visible assumptions and risk flags. Paper trading only. No guaranteed outcomes.